Estimating Populations and Samples

Point Estimator

an estimate for the value of a population parameter, derived from sample data
The ^ symbol is added to the population parameter when you’re talking about its point estimator. As an example, the point estimator for μ is μ^

Sample Mean

To find the mean of the sample, use the formula

x¯=∑xn

where x represents the values in the sample, and n is the sample size.

Point Estimator for Population Mean

The point estimator for the population mean is found by calculating x. In other words,

μ^=x¯

This means that if you want a good estimate for the true value of the population mean, you can use the mean of the sample.

Point Estimator for Population Variance

σ2^=s2=∑(x−x¯)2n−1

Population Proportion

The population proportion is represented using p. It’s the proportion of successes within the population. p = probability = proportion
The point estimator for p is given by ps , where ps is the proportion of successes in the sample.

p^=ps

You calculate ps by dividing the number of successes in the sample by the size of the sample.

ps=numberofsuccessesnumberinsample

Sampling Distribution of Proportions

what you get if you consider all possible samples of size n taken from the same population and form a distribution out of their proportions. We use Ps to represent the sample proportion of random variable X:

Ps=Xn

The expectation and variance of Ps are defined as

E(Ps)=pVar(Ps)=pqn

where p is the population proportion.

Standard Error of Proportion

the standard deviation of this distribution. It’s given by

Var(Ps)

If n>30, then Ps follows a normal distribution, so

Ps∼N(p,pqn)

for large n. When working with this, you need to apply a continuity correction of

±12n

Sampling Distribution of Means

what you get if you consider all possible samples of size n taken from the same population and form a distribution out of their means. We use X¯ to represent the sample mean random variable.

E(X¯)=μVar(X¯)=σ2n

where μ and σ2 are the mean and variance of the population.

Standard Error of the Mean

the standard deviation of this distribution. It’s given by

Var(X¯)

If X∼N(μ,σ2), then X¯∼N(μ,σ2n)
### Central Limit Theorem
if n is large (>30) and X doesn’t follow a normal distribution, then

X¯∼N(μ,σ2n)

Binomial

X¯∼N(np,pq)

Poisson

X¯∼N(λ,λn)

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